The case for a near-term recession has been made incessantly in the media of late. While we believe that indicators like Consumer Sentiment, inflation the Federal Reserve’s aggressive attempts to correct a clear policy mistake have raised the odds of recession, we do not believe it is imminent in the near term. So, we will give a couple of points to bolster the other side of the argument.

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Talk on the Street has increasingly included an outlook for a recession sometime in the near future. While this is far from being a certainty (and far from being a consensus opinion), we think it is worth exploring the reasoning behind it, and, perhaps dispelling some of the myths about recessions, market declines, and our power to stop either from besmirching our portfolios.

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Recent regulatory moves by Chinese authorities have shaken investors, with some broad-based Chinese investment funds and indexes were recently down anywhere from 26% to 40% from their February highs.

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